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Power System Management
EECS 4460/5460-901

Lecture #23

International Power Systems

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Forecasts continue to predict a substantial growth in energy global needs
World population is 7.7Billion, reaching 9.7B by 2050 (at <1% growth) Infrastructure development continues worldwide Technological advancements contribute to growth Government projections differentiate the OECD countries from the non-OECD countries OECD is the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development, formed in 1961 The 36 OECD Countries include the U.S., Canada, Japan, Korea, Australia, New Zealand, and most of Europe Non-OECD countries include China, India, Russia, Ukraine, most of Africa, South America and the Middle East. The Global Energy Picture The 2010 Global Energy Forecast Updated for 2019*: Global Energy Consumption Increases by Nearly 50% between 2018 and 2050 *EIA 2019 International Energy Outlook Industrial: Increases by more than 30% between 2018 and 2050, driven by consumption of goods Transportation: Increases by nearly 40% between 2018 and 2050, driven by non-OECD countries (personal travel and freight movement) Global Energy Forecast by Sector Transportation Sector Remains the Largest Consumer of Liquid Fuels* *EIA 2019 International Energy Outlook Carbon Emissions Will Grow as Well *EIA 2019 International Energy Outlook Carbon Emissions Growth by Fuel Source *EIA 2019 International Energy Outlook Economic Trends are Related *EIA 2019 International Energy Outlook Global Electricity Growth Drivers for Electricity Growth 11 Lifestyle Larger houses Heating and cooling Comfort and security Entertainment U.S. Per Capita Electricity Consumption Among Highest in the World Annual KWH Per Capita Source: (1) CIA, World Fact Book 16,020 13,281 11,920 10,238 7,567 6,696 6,210 2,559 2,046 498 UAE Germany China India Location • Date Meeting Name 12 Canada UAE United States Australia Japan Germany Russia China Brazil India 16020 13281 11920 10238 7567 6696 6210 2559 2046 498 Consumption Update – 2018 Country Consumption KWhr(billion) Population (Million) China 6,840** 1,390 United States 4,178 328 India 1,541 1,311 Japan 1,101 127 Russia 1,090 142 ** +8.5% 13 The World is Watching Television 14 Global Growth by Fuel Source 15 Fuel Mix Varies by Region 16 IEA Projects Significant Asian Growth 17 Globally, electricity demand rose 4% in 2018, nearly twice as fast as overall energy demand The 900 TWhr growth was the largest increase since 2010 CO2 emissions from the electricity sector grew 2.5% due to the increased use of natural gas and more coal in China China’s electricity demand grew 8% in 2018; U.S. grew 4% Renewable generation accelerated 7% in 2018 Renewable generation in Germany surpassed coal for the first time in its history Global Electricity Growth in 2018 International Power Systems Fuel Alternatives Environmental Update Policies and politics Technology advancements Next Lecture(s)